NRL 2023 Round 13 – Betting tips & Predictions

Round 12 is in the books and what a crazy round it was! The Tigers put up a whopping 66 points against the Cowboys at Leichardt while the Sea Eagles upset the Raiders thanks to a Tom Trbojevic masterclass right before Origin. Now onto Round 13, a shortened round with just 5 games due to Origin. Stay tuned as we dive into each and every game, finding value across all.

Kicking off our first major bye round of the season, we have the Dolphins hosting the Dragons. These sides have already faced each other this season, with the Dragons winning 38-12. The Dragons are coming off a heroic last second win against the Roosters, one of the moments of the season, while the Dolphins were beaten comfortably by the Storm.

The Dolphins will be without fullback Tabuai-Fidow and Gilbert as they have been called up to play for Queensland as well as Felise Kaufusi due to suspension, while the Dragons will be without their star man, Ben Hunt due to Origin, as well as Jack Bird and Blake Lawrie due to injury. The Dolphins will have a far easier time replacing their stars, with Isaako or Niu slotting into fullback while Jarrod Wallace is hopefully returning from an injury, whereas for the Dragons, Ben Hunt really is everything. He organizes their attack and controls the game and I think they’ll look like a completely different footy side without him.

Bookmaker	Daniel’s Tip	Odds
	Dolphins to win the First Half	$1.70
	Dolphins -5.5	$1.87
	Halftime/Fulltime Double – Dolphins/Dolphins	$2.05

Predicted Squads

Dolphins: 1. Tesi Niu 2. Jamayne Isaako 3. Euan Aitken 4. Brenko Lee 5. Edrick Lee 6. Kodi Nikorima 7. Isaiya Katoa 8. Jesse Bromwich 9. Jeremy Marhsall-King 10. Jarrod Wallace 11. Kenny Bromwich 12. Connelly Lemuelu 13. Mark Nicholls 14. Anthony Milford 15. JJ Collins 16. Ray Stone 17. Herman Ese’ese

Dragons: 1. Tyrell Sloan 2. Mat Feagai, 3. Moses Suli 4. Zac Lomax 5. Mikaele Ravalawa 6. Talatau Amone 7. Jayden Sullivan 8. Jack De Belin, 9. Jacob Liddle,10. Francis Molo 11. Ben Murdoch-Masila 12. Jaydn Su'a 13. Michael Molo 14. Moses Mbye 15. Toby Couchman 16. Josh Kerr 17. Jaiyden Hunt

We only have one game this Friday and it sees the Eels hosting the Cowboys. These 2 sides couldn’t have had more contrasting weeks, with the Eels upsetting the competition leader, the Rabbitohs, while the Cowboys got demolished 66-16 by the last place (at the time) Tigers. Both sides are going to be down heavily on troops, with the Cowboys missing Holmes, Taulagi, Cotter and Dearden to Origin while the Eels are missing Junior Paulo to Origin as well as Matterson to a calf injury.

While both sides are extremely depleted, the Cowboys are missing the majority of their firepower while the Eels still have key men Moses, Gutherson and Brown. The Eels forward pack is no doubt depleted and likely the weaker pack, but I think their halves should get them across the line. The bookies have a big line here and if the Cowboys do welcome back Taumalolo, I think they should cover but I don’t see them winning.

Bookmaker	Daniel’s Tip	Odds
	Cowboys +1.5 First half	$3.10
	Cowboys +15.5	$1.87
	Under 45.5	$1.91

Predicted Squads

Eels: 1. Clint Gutherson 2. Maika Sivo 3. Will Penisini 4. Bailey Simonsson 5. Haze Dunster 6. Dylan Brown 7. Mitchell Moses 8. Wiremu Grieg 9. Josh Hodgson 10. Ofahiki Ogden 11. Bryce Cartwright 12. Matt Doorey 13. J’maine Hopgood 14. Jirah Momoisea 15. Brendan Hands 16. Jack Murchie 17. Makahesi Makatoa

Cowboys: 1. Scott Drinkwater 2. Kyle Feldt 3. Gehamant Shibasaki 4. Peta Hiku 5. Brendan Elliot 6. Ben Hampton 7. Chad Townsend 8. Jordan Mclean 9. Reece Robson 10. Coen Hess 11. Heilum Luki 12. Luciano Leilua 13. Jason Taumalolo 14. Jake Granville 15. Jack Gosiewski 16. Mitchell Dunn 17. Kulikefu Finefeuiaki

Our first game on Saturday sees the Warriors hosting the Broncos. The Broncos are coming off a tough loss to the Panthers, whereas the Warriors will be well rested after the bye. Teams coming off the bye are an impressive 7-4 this year. The Warriors being from New Zealand are always strong through the bye period, not losing anyone to Origin this year. On the other hand, the Broncos are the victims of their own success, losing Walsh, Flegler, Haas, Carrigan and Cobbo to Origin. 

The Warriors hold a 3-1 record when playing in New Zealand this year and I think they will be the far stronger side on paper here. I don’t see this going any other way except for a comfortable Warriors win.

Bookmaker	Daniel’s Tip	Odds
	Halftime/Fulltime Double – Warriors/Warriors	$1.95
	Warriors -7.5	$1.82
	Warriors to win both halves	$2.65

Predicted Squads

Warriors: 1. Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad 2. Dallin Watene-Zelezniak 3. Rocco Berry 4. Adam Pompey 5. Marcelo Montoya 6. Ronald Volkman 7. Shaun Johnson 8. Addin Fonua-Blake 9. Wayde Egan 10. Bunty Afoa 11. Jackson Ford 12. Marata Niukore 13. Tohu Harris 14. Freddy Lussick 15. Dylan Walker 16. Josh Curran 17. Tom Ale

Broncos: 1. Jesse Arthars 2. Deine Mariner 3. Kotoni Staggs 4. Herbie Farnworth 5. Corey Oates 6. Ezra Mam 7. Adam Reynolds 8. Corey Jensen 9. Billy Walters 10. Martin Taupau 11. Kurt Capewell 12. Jordan Riki 13. Kobe Hetherington 14. Cory Paix 15. Keenan Palasia 16. Brendan Piakura 17. Logan Bayliss

Our second game of Super Saturday sees the Rabbitohs host the Raiders. Both sides will be looking to bounce back after the Rabbitohs lost by 20 points to the Eels while the Raiders lost by 28 points to the Sea Eagles, both as favourites. The Rabbitohs will be without Latrell Mitchell, Cameron Murray and Jai Arrow due to Origin as well as potentially Campbell-Graham due to a sternum injury. The Raiders will only be without Hudson Young who is making his Origin debut.

This Souths side has been awesome to watch, but so much of the credit is due to Latrell Mitchell and Campbell-Graham amongst others. I think they are a completely different side this week, weakened across all areas of the pitch, while the Raiders are almost at full strength. I think there is great value on the Raiders to win this week.

Bookmaker	Daniel’s Tip	Odds
	Halftime/Fulltime Double – Raiders/Raiders	$2.60
	Raiders to win	$1.76
	Raiders 13+	$3.75

Predicted Squads

Rabbitohs: 1. Blake Taaffe 2. Alex Johnston 3. Isaiah Tass 4. Josiah Karapani 5. Taane Milne 6. Cody Walker 7. Lachlan Ilias 8. Tevita Tatola 9. Damien Cook 10. Thomas Burgess 11. Michael Chee Kam 12. Jacob Host 13. Hame Sele 14. Jed Cartwright 15. Liam Knights 16. Tallis Duncan 17. Daniel Suluka-Fifita

Raiders: 1. Sebastian Kris 2. Albert Hopoate 3. Jared Croker 4. Matthew Timoko 5. Jordan Rapana 6. Jack Wighton 7. Jamal Fogarty 8. Josh Papalii 9. Danny Levi 10. Joseph Tapine 11. Corey Harawira-Naera 12. Elliott Whitehead 13. Corey Horsburgh 14. Tom Starling 15. Emre Guler 16. Pasami Saulo 17. Ata Mariota

In our final game of the round, the Knights host the Sea Eagles. These sides met earlier in the season in Round 5, in what was arguably the game of the season, ending in a 32-32 draw. Both sides will look a little different this week, with the Knights losing Frizell to Origin while the Sea Eagles lose star men Tom Trbojevic and Cherry-Evans. 

While fully fit the Sea Eagles are the better side on paper here, they are losing the heart and soul of their team. DCE organizes them in attack and controls the game, while Tom usually tears defenses apart. The Knights on the other hand are reportedly dropping Lachlan Miller, shifting Ponga to fullback and Gamble to five-eighth. Miller has been poor the past few weeks and we all know how electric Ponga is at his best, which he has been close to since returning from his head knock. I think the Knights will take advantage of a depleted Sea Eagles side on Sunday afternoon. 

Bookmaker	Daniel’s Tip	Odds
	Manly to score 3+ tries - No	$2.60
	Knights -8.5	$1.87
	Knights to win	$1.40

Predicted Squads

Knights: 1. Kalyn Ponga 2. Dominic Young 3. Dane Gagai 4. Bradman Best 5. Greg Marzhew 6. Tyson Gamble 7. Jackson Hastings 8. Daniel Saifiti 9. Phoenix Crossland 10. Jack Hetherington11. Adam Elliot 12. Lachlan Fitzgibbon 13. Leo Thompson 14. Simi Sasagi 15. Jacob Saifiti 16. Mat Croker 17. Jack Johns

Sea Eagles: 1. Kaeo Weekes 2. Jason Saab 3. Brad Parker 4. Tolutau Koula 5. Reuben Garrick 6. Josh Schuster 7. Cooper Johns 8. Taniela Paseka 9. Lachlan Croker 10. Sean Keppie 11. Haumole Olakau’atu 12. Ethan Bullemor 13. Karl Latwon 14. Tofafoa Sipley 15. Samuela Fainu 16. Ben Trbojevic 17. Ben Condon

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